Trend Trading Strategy

Nope

Identifying opportunities in which No is more profitable.

Conditions
  • No MKT Source - buy NO, 1 unit, on whichever bucket the Polymarket (MKT) forecast source's raw value maps to.
  • No SYS Source - same as above, using the blended System (SYS) forecast source instead of MKT.
  • Long Shot - buy YES, 1 unit each, on every bucket priced between 1% and 5% - not anchored to any forecast source.
  • Divergence Fade - when MKT's and SYS's implied buckets disagree by more than 1°F, buy NO, 1 unit each, on both of their buckets.
All four: entered at the 7am local snapshot, falling back to 10am if 7am has no data (no other fallback - skipped entirely if neither hour has data). Hold to close, no stop-loss.
Latest snapshot
2026-09-21
Manually resolve pending paper trades for settled markets.
Strategy Filters
City, Date, and Condition
Bank Close
$0.00
PnL
$0.00
Trades
0
Realized ROI
0.0%
$0.00 open
Avg ROI/Day
0.0%

Bank Over Time

Daily PnL Waterfall

Condition KPI Comparison

Click a condition's name for its own trades drill-down and research page.

Condition Trades Spent Pending $ PnL ROI Avg ROI/Day EV/Trade Profit Factor Bank Close
Loading...