Trend Trading Strategy

Market Knows

Precomputed rollup and condition-level KPI summary with strategy condition comparisons.

Conditions
  • MKT Strategy - buy YES, 1 unit, on the market's own top-priced bucket, when it also aligns with the Polymarket (MKT) forecast source and clears a 0.35 price floor. A read on how accurate the MKT forecast is.
  • SYS Strategy - same as MKT Strategy, using the blended System (SYS) forecast source instead of MKT. A read on how accurate the SYS forecast is.
  • MKT Bias Strategy - buy YES, 1 unit, on whichever bucket MKT's forecast plus its rolling 7-day bias points to - trading a believed deviation from the market's own view, not confirming it. Does not require a unique/clear market top bucket, since it never trades the market's top pick.
  • SYS Bias Strategy - same as MKT Bias Strategy, using SYS's forecast and bias instead of MKT's.
  • MKT + SYS Agreement Strategy - buy YES, 2 units, on the market's own top-priced bucket, but only when MKT's forecast AND SYS's forecast both independently fall within that bucket's window - i.e. only when MKT Strategy and SYS Strategy would both have fired on their own. Two sources confirming the same pick at once.
All five: entered at the 7am local snapshot, falling back to 10am if 7am has no data (no other fallback - skipped entirely if neither hour has data). MKT/SYS Strategy and the Agreement strategy require a unique, clearly-separated market top bucket; the two Bias strategies don't, since they never trade the market's top pick. Closes early on a stop-loss if YES drops to 0.20 or below, otherwise holds to resolution.
Latest snapshot
2026-09-21
Manually resolve pending paper trades for settled markets.
Strategy Filters
City, Date, and Condition
Bank Close
$0.00
PnL
$0.00
Trades
0
Realized ROI
0.0%
$0.00 open
Avg ROI/Day
0.0%

Bank Over Time

Daily PnL Waterfall

Condition KPI Comparison

Click a condition's name for its own trades drill-down and research page.

Condition Trades YES Spent Pending $ PnL ROI Avg ROI/Day EV/Trade Profit Factor Bank Close
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