Trend Trading Strategy
Tap Out
Enter in the morning, then buy the offsetting NO in the early afternoon to lock in a
deterministic outcome same-day, instead of holding to the market's own resolution.
Conditions
- Simple - buy YES, 1 unit, on the market's own top-priced bucket at 9am; buy NO, 1 unit, on that same bucket at 1:50pm.
- SYS Simple - same as Simple, but the 9am bucket is whichever one the System (SYS) forecast source's raw value maps to, not the market's top price.
- Scaled Take Profit - buy YES, 2 units, on the market's top-priced bucket at 9am; buy NO, 1 unit, on that bucket at 1:50pm (locking in the first unit's outcome), and hold the second YES unit to normal daily resolution.
Buying 1 NO against 1 YES on the same bucket guarantees exactly $1 combined payout
regardless of how the market ultimately settles - so the "closed" leg's PnL is known
the moment the 1:50pm trade fills, not at resolution. Entry/exit snapshots are matched
to the closest available reading within 30 minutes of 9am/1:50pm; a city-day is
skipped entirely if neither snapshot is close enough.
Latest snapshot
2026-09-21
Manually resolve pending paper trades for settled markets.