Trend Trading Strategy

Bell Curve

Precomputed rollup and condition-level KPI summary with 6am -> 9am -> 10am one-time snapshot fallback.

Conditions

Top 3 Equal - buy YES, 1 unit each, on the market's 3 highest-priced buckets - but only when their combined price is under $0.90, i.e. a genuine spread across the market's own top 3 picks. Tightened from an original $1.00 gate on 2026-08-31: backtesting showed under-$1.00 didn't work (only 2 of 36 city-month combos were both profitable and past reliable sample size, with several reliable combos sharply negative) - retired, don't revert to it. See the code comment in strategy_compute.py for the full numbers.
Price Scaled - buy YES on every priced bucket, sized to that bucket's own price (floor(price × 10) contracts) - the market's most-favored buckets get the most contracts, least-favored get few or none.
Donut - buy YES, 1 unit each, on the 2 buckets immediately below and 2 immediately above the market's single highest-priced bucket - deliberately skips the peak itself, betting the ring around it instead.
Drawdown - rank buckets by price high to low, buy them in that order until the combined price would exceed $0.92 - sized so the highest-priced bucket gets the most units, tapering down to 1 unit for the last (lowest-priced) bucket included.

All four: same 6am/9am/10am-fallback one-time snapshot, always buy YES, no stop-loss - every position holds straight through to daily resolution.

Latest snapshot

2026-09-21

Manually resolve pending paper trades for settled markets.

Strategy Filters

City, Date, and Condition

Start Date

End Date

City

Condition

Bank Close

$0.00

PnL

$0.00

Trades

Realized ROI

0.0%

$0.00 open

Avg ROI/Day

0.0%

Bank Over Time

Click a condition's name for its own trades drill-down and research page.

Condition	Trades	YES Spent	Pending $	PnL	ROI	Avg ROI/Day	EV/Trade	Profit Factor	Bank Close
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